The International Energy Agency's (IEA) member countries could release more oil into the market from strategic stockpiles "as and if needed" after they agreed the largest-ever reserves release last week to offset shortages and a spike in prices, its executive director said.
The comments from Fatih Birol come as the
oil price remains above $100 a barrel, having surged as a result of the US and
Israeli war on Iran, reported Reuters.
The conflict has shut the Strait of Hormuz,
through which around a fifth of global oil is usually shipped daily, causing the world's largest-ever
supply shock.
"Despite this huge release, we still
have a lot of stocks left," Birol said in a video statement, referring to
the roughly 20 per cent drawdown under last week's agreement. Reserves still
contain about 1.4 billion barrels, he said.
RELEASE CALMED MARKETS, BIROL SAYS
"This quick action by the IEA had a
calming impact on markets. Oil prices today are significantly lower than they
were one week ago," Birol said.
Brent crude futures were trading at over
$102 per barrel, up by around $10 from when the reserve release was
announced on March 11, but below the near four-year high of $119.50 on March
9.
Analysts have questioned if the release
will be sufficient to overcome the disruptions, and stressed that the pace of the release is also crucial.
"Combined global strategic reserves
and commercial inventory draws might reach 4–6 million barrels per day at
best," Sparta Commodities CEO Felipe Elink Schuurman said. "Against a
crude deficit of 5–8 million bpd, this does not close the gap."
Birol did not comment on the daily pace of
the stock releases in his video address, but said oil from reserves was already flowing in
Asia.
IEA WARNS OF LONGER DISRUPTIONS
Even though the stock release can provide a
buffer for now, it is not a lasting solution, Birol said.
"The single most important thing for
a return to stable flows of oil and gas is the resumption of transit through the Strait of
Hormuz," he said.
He also warned that even if the Strait were
to reopen tomorrow, it would still take time for global energy trade to
recover.
The worst-affected countries were
oil-importing emerging and developing economies in South and Southeast Asia, as well as key Middle East producers like Iraq losing crucial export
revenues, Birol added.
The IEA, created in 1974 after the 1973 oil
crisis, groups 32 countries from all continents.