The US nearly turned into a net crude exporter last week for the first time since World War Two as shipments surged close to a record high to meet demand from Asian and European buyers scrambling to replace Middle East supplies cut by the Iran war.
The US and
Israel's war with Iran triggered
the largest ever disruption to the global energy market as Iranian threats to
shipping stopped around a fifth of the world's oil and gas supplies from
transiting the Strait of Hormuz waterway, reported Reuters.
Refiners in Asia and
Europe that depend on those supplies have bought alternative cargoes from
wherever they can, sharply boosting demand for oil from the US, the world's
largest producer.
However, analysts and
traders say the US is rapidly approaching its export capacity.
Net imports of crude
oil, or the difference between imports and exports, narrowed to 66,000 barrels
per day last week, the lowest on record in weekly data that goes back to 2001, according
to US government data released, while exports climbed to 5.2 million bpd, the
highest in seven months.
On an annual basis,
the US was last a net exporter of crude in 1943, data showed.
Rising US crude
exports are evidence that Atlantic Basin and Asian buyers are reaching further
out for available supply, with regional oil price differences making up for
the costs of shipping, said Rystad vice president of oil markets, Janiv Shah.
Countries such as
Greece have snapped up US crude for the first time ever in recent months.
About 2.4 million bpd,
or some 47 per cent of US exports last week sailed toward Europe, according to
ship tracking service Kpler. Around 1.49 million bpd, or about 37 per cent,
headed to Asia, up from 30 per cent a year ago.
Top buyers included
the Netherlands, Japan, France, Germany and South Korea.
A vessel carrying
500,000 barrels of crude signalled it was en route to Turkey, which would mark
the first US export to the country in at least a year, Kpler data showed.
SOARING BENCHMARK
BRENT MAKES US OIL ATTRACTIVE
Imports to the US,
meanwhile, dropped by more than 1 million bpd to 5.3 million bpd last week. The US
still imports a lot of its crude as its refineries are designed to take
heavier, more sour grades than the light sweet crude it produces.
The disruption to
Middle East supplies blew out the premium for Brent crude futures over US West
Texas Intermediate crude futures to as much as $20.69 a barrel last month,
reducing US buyers' appetite for imports, while making US crude attractive to
refiners in Europe and Asia.
The price of physical
crude oil cargoes for prompt delivery to Europe hit
a record high near $150 a barrel, and those for Africa hit new peaks, according to
LSEG data and traders.
EXPORTS NEARING
CAPACITY
US exports are likely
to touch about 5.2 million bpd for April, Matt Smith, an analyst at Kpler said,
adding that exports were pushing up against capacity limits on a monthly
basis.
The US can export as
much as 6 million bpd, traders and analysts said, citing limited pipeline
capacity and vessel availability. Its exports hit a record high of 5.6
million bpd in 2023, government data shows.
"The market is
already testing the export ceiling with 5.2 million bpd exported last week.
Every incremental barrel from here costs more in freight and logistics than the
last one," according to Bekzod Zukhritdinov, a Dubai-based oil trader.
A release of medium
sour crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve could push more
light, low sulfur US crude grades out for export, Rystad's Shah said. But a
shortage of tankers, and higher freight rates could hurt
that export demand, he added.
About 80 empty supertankers were heading to the Gulf of Mexico as of Wednesday, likely to pick up crude over April and May, said Rohit Rathod, a senior analyst at Vortexa.