Oil bounces back to $116, Europe concerns fade
London, February 5, 2013
Oil rose to $116 a barrel on Tuesday, resuming its three-week rally, as investor concern faded about political risks in the euro zone that had prompted a sell-off of riskier assets in the previous session.
European shares moved up and the euro rose after better-than-expected euro zone PMI figures. Shares of British oil giant BP were up 1.6 percent after its fourth-quarter results beat expectations.
Brent was up 53 cents at $116.13 at 1037 GMT after falling as low as $115.01 earlier. It has gained over 4 percent so far in 2013 and reached a more than four-month high above $117 on Friday. U.S. crude added 39 cents to $96.56.
"We do not envisage prices receding for any great length of time," said Carsten Fritsch, analyst at Commerzbank. "The supply-side risks still prevailing, shrinking OPEC supplies and the brightening global economic outlook all suggest that such a retreat is unlikely."
Lower output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has reduced an expected global supply surplus in 2013, while fighting in Syria and Iran's dispute with the West over its nuclear work continue to pose the risk of wider disruption to Middle East supply.
Oil fell on Monday alongside the euro and equities as a rise in political uncertainty in the euro zone weighed on sentiment. Analysts said Iran's offer of fresh talks with the West also dampened oil prices.
In Spain, the prime minister is facing calls to resign, while in Italy, which is having elections this month, former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi is seeing a resurgence in popularity.
Some dealers say crude may struggle to rally much further, seeing little in the supply and demand balance to justify higher prices.
"The market has perked up a bit, but I suspect the quite sustained rally we saw last week is running out of steam now and fundamentals will be reasserting themselves," said Christopher Bellew, a broker at Jefferies Bache.
"There seems to be plenty of crude around. The market is fairly well balanced, so it should not be in an upward spiral because of any lack of supply."
Oil traders awaited a report on U.S. oil supplies later the day. U.S. crude stocks are expected to rise by 2.8 million barrels, a preliminary Reuters poll found on Monday.
Industry group the American Petroleum Institute releases its report on Tuesday, while figures from the government's Energy Information Administration follow on Wednesday. - Reuters